We have come to the final week of the regular season. A number of spots are locked up while we wont know until late Friday night about others. Here is a look at the district outlook for the Districts involving our area teams…
Class 3
- Cassville– Wildcats have Lamar.. could lose by 13 and still should end with 45.93 points and that would be enough to stay in the top spot.
- Reeds Spring– Will finish 3rd in pts but will jump to 2nd because they beat Mt Vernon
- Mt Vernon– Even if Mt Vernon beats Hollister the most they could end up with is 45.13. (baring some huge upset in another game)
- Hollister/Seneca– These two teams are going to play each other in the first round of districts. Its just a matter of where the game will be. If Hollister can upset Mt Vernon, its simple, they are the 4. If Hollister loses big and Seneca beats McDonald County big, the Mustangs are the 4. Most cases of a Hollister loss and Seneca win favors the Indians to get the spot. This one is so close it could also be influenced by other games. Cassville beating Lamar would help Seneca, while Hollister would get a small boost if Aurora could upset Reeds Spring.
- Hollister/Seneca– See #4
- Aurora– Pretty well locked into this spot. Get ready to head to Mt Vernon.
- Nevada– When you look at the standings you see they are only up 0.1 points. But that is a little misleading. They play Monett this week which gives them bonus points and will help them secure the 7 spot and a return to Week 1 opponent Reeds Spring.
- Clinton– Only a Clinton big win could get them out of the bottom spot and a trip to Cassville.
Class 5
- Carthage– They had this spot locked down weeks ago
- Parkview– Unless the Vikings get blown out by Waynesville AND Nixa hammers Webb City, this spot is secure… ITS SECURE.
- Nixa/Branson/Republic Things are crazy tight at the bottom of this 5 team District 1.43 points separate the three teams. This is huge because whoever finishes in the 3rd spot gets a bye week 10 AND gets on the other side of the bracket from Carthage. Nixa has the toughest matchup but they get the biggest boost in strength of schedule by adding Webb City. And most of all they have victories over the other two teams in hand. Branson has the most favorable matchup of the three and has the week 1 win over Republic. And finally Republic can not finish in the 3 spot. They have lost to both the other teams and will drop to 4th if they get the points to finish there. Best case for Branson would be if they could win by 13 or more against Willard, Republic get the win over Neosho, and have Nixa get blown out by Webb City. If this happens, the Pirates would get the 3 seed and get a bye. If you look strictly at the numbers of probability you will say Nixa 3rd, Branson 4th, and Republic 5th.
- Nixa/Branson/Republic– see above
- Nixa/Branson/Republic— yep, see above.
Class 2
- Ava– The Bears were upset week 1 at Buffalo. Since that time they have taken care of business as expected. That has earned them the one spot
- Fair Grove– The Eagles will finish 3rd in points. But, they beat Strafford head to head and will jump the Indians. They are off this week after their opponent dropped them too late to pick up another game.
- Strafford– Indians are locked in here.
- Liberty/Houston This is where it gets interesting.. This will be either Mountain View Liberty or Houston. They play this week and the winner gets the 4 spot.
- Liberty/Mountain Grove If Liberty loses to Houston, they will finish here. If the Eagles beat the Tigers, Mountain Grove jumps to this spot because they beat Houston last week.
- Houston/Mountain Grove… see above. This spot is totally about who wins the Liberty-Houston game, No matter what Grove does against Thayer. Houston beats Liberty, this spot is filled by Moutain Grove. The Tigers fall short, they will drop here.
- Willow Springs– no matter what happens this week, they will head to Fair Grove Week 10
- Forsyth– The Panthers will have the task of opening Districts at Ava.
